Covid-19, A Once in a Century Fiasco in the Making
by Jeffrey Dach MD
Back in March at the beginning of the COVID 19 outbreak, the highly respected Stanford Epidemiologist John Ioannidis drew heavy criticism for expressing his view that governments were making decisions without reliable data. On March 17, 2020, Dr. John Ioannidis writes:
“The current coronavirus disease, Covid-19, has been called a once-in-a-century pandemic. But it may also be a once-in-a-century evidence fiasco.“(1)
The Data Has Accumulated and Dr. John Ioannidis was RIGHT !!
Infection Fatality Rate of ZERO for under 45 yrs of age !!
In a recent interview June 27, 2020, Dr Ioannidis spells out the accumulated data which is now available. Sadly, he was right all along. Regarding the infection fatality rate, remarkably, Dr John Ioannidis says for people younger than age 45, the infection fatality rate is ZERO !!! And, for people age 45 to 70, the infection fatality rate is probably about 0.05-0.3%, historically similar to other seasonal respiratory viruses. However, fatality rate for frail nursing home patients may be as high as 25%.
What is the IFR (infection fatality rate) ? Dr. Ioannidis replies:
“0.05% to 1% is a reasonable range for what the data tell us now for the infection fatality rate, with a median of about 0.25%. The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age-structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed. For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially, to 1% or higher for those over 85. For frail, debilitated elderly people with multiple health problems who are infected in nursing homes, it can go up to 25% during major outbreaks in these facilities.”
Draconian Lockdown Consequences: “Financial Crisis, Unrest, and Civil Strife.”
When recently asked about the consequences of the Lockdowns, Dr Ioaninidis said he was saddened that his projections were verified: Dr. Ioannidis replies:
“I feel extremely sad that my predictions were verified. “Major consequences on the economy, society and mental health” have already occurred. I hope they are reversible, and this depends to a large extent on whether we can avoid prolonging the draconian lockdowns and manage to deal with COVID-19 in a smart, precision-risk targeted approach, rather than blindly shutting down everything. Similarly, we have already started to see the consequences of “financial crisis, unrest, and civil strife.” I hope it is not followed by “war and meltdown of the social fabric.”
Draconian Lockdowns put 1.1 Billion at Risk of Starvation
Dr. Ioannidis replies:
“Globally, the lockdown measures have increased the number of people at risk of starvation to 1.1 billion, and they are putting at risk millions of lives, with the potential resurgence of tuberculosis, childhood diseases …, and malaria. I hope that policymakers look at the big picture of all the potential problems and not only on the very important, but relatively thin slice of evidence that is COVID-19.”
Polarized Society Driven by Fear
We now live in a polarized society of two types of people. On one hand we have people obediently watching the nightly news who believe what they hear and see on the television. These people are fearful of viruses and want government protection with “security measures” that coincidentally abolish constitutional rights and liberties. For example, the right to work and make a living, and the right to assemble in a house of worship are among many that have been abolished. These “fearful” people are not concerned about the economic consequences of 40 million people collecting unemployment payments. Or the soon to be millio
ns living out of cardboard boxes on the sidewalk because they can not pay their rent.
Celebrating Freedom on Independence Day
On the other hand, there are people who understand the views of Dr Ioannidis, who are not fearful, and who do not watch the nightly news. These people do not want government protection from a virus. These people want the government to stop interfering in their right to work and make a living to support their families. They want to have their constitutional rights and liberties restored. That is what we are celebrating on July 4th Independence Day.
Latest Data Chart From Covid Tracking Project
While “cases” are increasing (Blue Arrow), deaths are decreasing (Red Arrow). Why the disconnect between “cases” and Mortality” ? The lab testing is blatantly erroneous.
Florida Labs Producing Erroneous Covid Results
See this link: Coronavirus update July 14: Florida labs not reporting negative test results, report says
Fox 35 News ran an investigation of the figures, contacting local locations listed in the state’s report. Incomplete reporting from some Florida laboratories resulted in errors on the state’s report on virus positivity rates, according to a Fox 35 News report.
“Countless labs have reported a 100 percent positivity rate, which means every single person tested was positive,”
Fox 35 News reported. “Other labs had very high positivity rates.”
Orlando Health, for example, reported a 98 percent positivity rate. Lee Memorial Hospital Lab, PanCare of Florida, Inc and Advance Medical of Naples all reported 100 percent positivity rates; no negative results were included. That rate implies every person tested had a positive result. end quote
Virologist Admits that Detection of Viral RNA is Meaningless !!!
Dr. Angela Rasmussen, virologist at the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health writes in Forbes Magazine, cells make “viral RNA” without actually making infectious viral particles :
“For reasons that are not fully understood, patients that have recovered from a viral infection have cells that can continue to produce viral RNA without actually making infectious virus particles. That means it is not only possible but common to detect viral RNA without there being any infectious virus present.” end quote (9)
If this is true, then detection of viral RNA by PCR test without any infectious virus present IS A COMMON OCCURRENCE…folks, this is the definition of a false positive test. In other words, the PCR test for COVID 19 is worthless.
We Stopped Doing COVID LAB Testing Because of Unreliability
One of the worst things in medicine is a lab error or an unreliable lab test. In our office, we noticed the unreliability of COVID 19 lab testing back at the beginning when testing was first offered by Quest and Labcorp. After running a number of tests on our patients which came back with no obvious correlation with the actual clinical history, we realized the lab resting is unreliable and completely worthless. We then changed our office policy regarding lab testing for COVID 19, and halted all COVID 19 testing from our office. In addition for patients who request COVID testing, we explain the unreliability of the test, and discourage them from doing it.
Florida….Just stop doing it !!!
Conclusion: Our country is teetering on a precipice. Are we sheep to be ruled by fear ? Or are we brave men and women standing up for freedom, liberty and the American way? If we are worried about the mortality rate from a virus, just think about this: What is the mortality rate from living out of a cardboard box on the sidewalk?
Articles with Related Content:
Early Effective Treatment for Corona Virus
Coronavirus How to Protect Ourselves
Jeffrey Dach MD
7450 Griffin Road, Suite 190
Davie, Fl 33314
954-792-4663
www.jeffreydachmd.com
Links and References
1) A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data. By John P.A. Ioannidis March 17, 2020 once-in-a-century evidence fiasco.
2) Up to 300 Million People May Be Infected by Covid-19, Stanford Guru John Ioannidis Says. By Patricia Claus – Jun 27, 2020
Dr. Ioannidis: 0.05% to 1% is a reasonable range for what the data tell us now for the infection fatality rate, with a median of about 0.25%. The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age-structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed. For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially, to 1% or higher for those over 85. For frail, debilitated elderly people with multiple health problems who are infected in nursing homes, it can go up to 25% during major outbreaks in these facilities.
Dr. Ioannidis: I feel extremely sad that my predictions were verified. “Major consequences on the economy, society and mental health” have already occurred. I hope they are reversible, and this depends to a large extent on whether we can avoid prolonging the draconian lockdowns and manage to deal with COVID-19 in a smart, precision-risk targeted approach, rather than blindly shutting down everything. Similarly, we have already started to see the consequences of “financial crisis, unrest, and civil strife.” I hope it is not followed by “war and meltdown of the social fabric.”
Globally, the lockdown measures have increased the number of people at risk of starvation to 1.1 billion, and they are putting at risk millions of lives, with the potential resurgence of tuberculosis, childhood diseases like measles where vaccination programs are disrupted, and malaria. I hope that policymakers look at the big picture of all the potential problems and not only on the very important, but relatively thin slice of evidence that is COVID-19.
3) Stanford’s John P.A. Ioannidis — co-director of the university’s Meta-Research Innovation Center and professor of medicine
response to the coronavirus pandemic may be “a fiasco in the making” because we are making seismic decisions based on “utterly unreliable” data. The data we do have, Ioannidis explains, indicates that we are likely severely overreacting.
“The current coronavirus disease, Covid-19, has been called a once-in-a-century pandemic. But it may also be a once-in-a-century evidence fiasco,”
4) Ioannidis, John. “The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 inferred from seroprevalence data.” medRxiv (2020).
5) Facts about Covid-19 SWISS Research Policy
Fully referenced facts about Covid-19, provided by experts in the field
6) Against the Corona-Panic, Part XV: The coronavirus death curves in Stay-Open Sweden and the Stay-Locked-Down USA are remarkably similar over four months, discrediting lockdown-pushers
Posted on June 28, 2020
Was the lockdown necessary? Sweden continues to show, No, it wasn’t. Regardless of strategy used, the epidemic curves generally look the same.
7) COVID19 PCR Tests are Scientifically Meaningless by Torsten Engelbrecht and Konstantin Demeter
8) Is the Coronavirus Scare a Psychological Operation?
Kevin Ryan
Virologist admits in Forbes magazine that PCR tests for viral RNA are meaningless !!!!
9) Apr 7, 2020 A Virologist Explains Why COVID-19 Coronavirus Isn’t Really Dangerously Lingering On Surfaces For Weeks
Angela Rasmussen, I am a virologist at the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health.
Cells make “viral RNA” without actually making infectious viral particles !!!!!!
“For reasons that are not fully understood, patients that have recovered from a viral infection have cells that can continue to produce viral RNA without actually making infectious virus particles. That means it is not only possible but common to detect viral RNA without there being any infectious virus present.” end quote
10) Public Health England’s exaggerated death statistics are a scandal that has fed fear. Woefully misleading figures have only made it harder to tackle the pandemic and to get the country moving again
Matthew Lesh 17 July 2020
11) This compnay claims to have purified and isolated the COVID 19 virus particle…comments please? NATtrol™ SARS-CoV-2 External Run. Controls are formulated with purified, intact viral particles (Positive control) and human A549 cells(Negative control). The virus particles have been chemically modified to render them non-infectious and refrigerator stable*. Each control pack contains 6×0.5mL of NATtrol™ SARS-CoV-2or A549 cells. These controls are provided in a proprietary matrix. https://www.zeptometrix.com/
12) Coronavirus: Scientists isolate virus responsible for deadly Covid-19 outbreak
Canadian research team says work will help inform global response to worsening pandemic. Harry Cockburn Friday 13 March 2020 11:30
“Now that we have isolated the Sars-CoV-2 virus, we can share this with other researchers and continue this teamwork,” he said.
13) COVID-19 How can I cure thee? Let me count the ways.
Commentary by Thomas E. Levy, MD, JD Orthomolecular Medicine News Service, July 18, 2020
20) All-cause mortality during COVID-19: No plague and a likely signature of mass homicide by government response. Technical Report · June 2020 D. G. Rancourt Ontario Civil Liberties Association Rancourt Ontario All Cause Mortality COVID-19 2020
4 June 2020: Jim Larsen asks Denis Rancourt to explain his paper “All-cause mortality during COVID-19: No plague and a likely signature of mass homicide by government response”.
ALL You Tube Videos Denis Rancourt
Jeffrey Dach MD
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